Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000013 0.000014
2025-01-26 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000015 0.000018
2025-02-02 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000023
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000014 0.000020 0.000028
2025-02-16 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000034
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025 0.000040
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000046
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000029 0.000053
2025-03-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000032 0.000063
2025-03-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000019 0.000036 0.000075
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000019 0.000038 0.000083
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000020 0.000040 0.000094
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000010 0.000020 0.000043 0.000108
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000021 0.000047 0.000127
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000023 0.000054 0.000159
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000024 0.000059 0.000187
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000025 0.000066 0.000224
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000026 0.000072 0.000264
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000027 0.000076 0.000300
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000027 0.000081 0.000342
2025-06-08 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000028 0.000088 0.000402
2025-06-15 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000030 0.000097 0.000485
2025-06-22 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000030 0.000101 0.000539